Correct Score Predictor: Step-by-Step Guide

1. Input Team Names and Statistics

• Enter Team Names: Type the name of the Home Team in the blue input box. Type the name of the Away Team in the red input box. Naming the teams clearly labels your results.
• Provide Home Team Averages: For the Home Team, enter two numbers:
  • Avg Goals Scored/Game: Input the average goals the home team scores per game.
  • Avg Goals Conceded/Game: Input the average goals the home team allows per game.
• Provide Away Team Averages: For the Away Team, enter two numbers:
  • Avg Goals Scored/Game: Input the average goals the away team scores per game.
  • Avg Goals Conceded/Game: Input the average goals the away team allows per game.
  • Tip: Use data from the last 5 to 10 games for accuracy. Enter averages as decimals (e.g., 2.1 or 0.9).

2. Generate Predictions

• Click the Button: Select the green “Calculate Most Likely Scores” button. The tool processes the average goal data immediately.

3. Interpret Prediction Results

• Match Prediction (Expected Goals): This section displays the calculated Expected Goals (xG) for both the Home and Away teams. These decimal numbers show the statistically predicted number of goals each team should score.
• Top 10 Most Likely Scorelines: The tool lists the top 10 most probable final scores.
  • The score with the highest percentage is the Most Likely outcome.
  • Probability (%): This number is the chance a specific scoreline will occur, calculated using the Poisson Distribution model.
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 **Odds:** This number is the calculated fair odds (100 / Probability). Use this to compare against bookmaker odds.

• Complete Probability Matrix (Score Matrix): This table shows the probability for a range of scores (0-0 up to 4-4).
  • The colors show probability levels; green is highest, blue is high, and light gray is lowest.
  • Hover over any score cell (e.g., 2-1) to see its exact probability percentage and corresponding fair odds.